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Politics

Elections, confirmations, and legislation. Markets on the people and decisions that run the government.

Events36
Volume$636.3M
Liquidity$39.5M
#Event
7d Chart
1

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

37%
-0.1%
+6.5%
$473.8M
$29.1M
2

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Fidesz-KDNP

35%
+2.3%
+10.4%
$39.2M
$335K
3

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

100%
-2.2%
-1.2%
$21.9M
$4.8M
4

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

56%
+4.1%
+6.6%
$12.7M
$279K
5

Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

0%
-3.9%
+3.7%
$12.0M
$1.1M
6

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

16%
+4.5%
-6.7%
$9.1M
$201K
7

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?

360-379

100%
-3.5%
-1.1%
$8.4M
$1.3M
8

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?

Saudi Arabia

11%
-3.5%
-6.4%
$7.1M
$169K
9

Colombia Presidential Election

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

1%
+3.9%
-10.6%
$6.2M
$282K
10

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

April 30

59%
+0.6%
-10.9%
$5.2M
$176K
11

Will another country strike Iran by...?

March 31

14%
+3.9%
+2.2%
$3.7M
$78K
12

Epstein client list released by...?

December 31

0%
+1.3%
+2.3%
$3.5M
$0
13

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

48%
-0.2%
+9.1%
$2.8M
$340K
14

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

35%
-1.3%
+10.6%
$2.8M
$77K
15

US strike on Mexico by...?

March 31

1%
+4.5%
-1.4%
$2.7M
$44K
16

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

January 31

0%
-1%
+10.2%
$2.2M
$0
17

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

21%
+4.1%
+1.8%
$2.0M
$78K
18

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

5%
-1.9%
+8.4%
$1.8M
$162K
19

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

May 14

2%
+0.8%
+3%
$1.8M
$159K
20

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Park Yong-jin

0%
+2.6%
-7.9%
$1.5M
$115K
21

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

14%
-4.4%
-5.5%
$1.4M
$92K
22

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner

76%
+4.1%
-4.3%
$1.3M
$28K
23

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Cyprus

2%
+0.5%
-4.6%
$1.3M
$28K
24

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

8%
-0.3%
+4.3%
$1.3M
$102K
25

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

23%
+1.2%
+8.4%
$1.2M
$98K
26

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

0%
+4.8%
+0.1%
$1.1M
$87K
27

When will the DHS shutdown end?

After March 31

64%
+3.1%
-1.9%
$970K
$21K
28

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

0%
-0.4%
+4%
$961K
$37K
29

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

July 31

14%
+1%
-7.4%
$925K
$8K
30

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

People Power Party (PPP)

5%
-0.7%
-3.5%
$911K
$24K
31

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

March 31

1%
-1%
-5.2%
$826K
$62K
32

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Al Mina

15%
-0.5%
+10.9%
$821K
$9K
33

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Casey Putsch

5%
+3.2%
-5%
$808K
$20K
34

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

December 31

0%
+2.7%
+11.4%
$765K
$0
35

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

January 10

0%
+3%
+8.9%
$763K
$0
36

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30

80%
-0.1%
+7.6%
$756K
$22K