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Politics

Elections, confirmations, and legislation. Markets on the people and decisions that run the government.

Events35
Volume$119.0M
Liquidity$10.9M
#Event
7d Chart
1

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA

63%
+1.7%
+0.2%
$44.0M
$547K
2

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

100%
-2.2%
-1.2%
$21.9M
$4.8M
3

Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

0%
-3.9%
+3.7%
$12.1M
$1.4M
4

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?

360-379

100%
-3.5%
-1.1%
$11.2M
$2.5M
5

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?

Saudi Arabia

9%
-3.5%
-6.4%
$9.9M
$336K
6

Will another country strike Iran by...?

March 31

11%
+3.9%
+2.2%
$3.7M
$74K
7

Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026?

1320-1359

27%
+0.1%
-7%
$2.9M
$192K
8

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Saudi Arabia

100%
+0.5%
-4.6%
$2.5M
$67K
9

When will the DHS shutdown end?

After March 31

64%
+3.1%
-1.9%
$1.1M
$25K
10

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

0%
+4.8%
+0.1%
$1.1M
$87K
11

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

55-60%

73%
+3.1%
+2.4%
$1.1M
$24K
12

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

0%
-0.4%
+4%
$962K
$38K
13

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?

Grégory Doucet

100%
+2.3%
-11.2%
$769K
$16K
14

Denmark Parliamentary Election Winner

Social Democrats

99%
+0.7%
+9.5%
$605K
$54K
15

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

1%
+3.1%
+10.9%
$584K
$28K
16

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

≤5

16%
-2.8%
-1.4%
$538K
$28K
17

Who will win the Nice mayoral election?

Eric Ciotti

100%
-1.6%
+8.8%
$433K
$14K
18

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

0%
-2.1%
+6.7%
$368K
$36K
19

US strikes Yemen by...?

March 31

6%
+4.5%
+1.8%
$347K
$13K
20

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

34%
+0.5%
+1.2%
$323K
$29K
21

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

Benoît Payan

100%
+1.4%
+0.1%
$273K
$54K
22

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?

80-99

100%
-0.2%
-2.2%
$256K
$233K
23

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?

Jean-Luc Moudenc

99%
-0.1%
+3.6%
$253K
$6K
24

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

1%
+0.2%
+3.5%
$222K
$11K
25

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

2%
-2.5%
+1.8%
$202K
$12K
26

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

2%
-2.8%
+2.5%
$151K
$12K
27

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

58-59%

11%
-2.2%
-10%
$146K
$3K
28

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

1%
-2.8%
-6.1%
$146K
$38K
29

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

1%
-4.6%
-3.2%
$139K
$10K
30

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

2%
+4.2%
-9.6%
$135K
$20K
31

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?

1%
+1.4%
+0.7%
$122K
$9K
32

GA-14 special election winner?

Shawn Harris

3%
-2.7%
+10.2%
$93K
$21K
33

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

Nancy / Pelosi

0%
-4.7%
-1.4%
$76K
$208K
34

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

1%
+2.8%
+2.8%
$72K
$14K
35

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

3%
-4.8%
+1%
$66K
$19K